Live Blogging the Oscars ‘08

Live Blogging the Oscars ‘08

Monday, February 25th, 2008

04:34 All done. What can I say but they got it right. They got it right. They got it right. I wrote everything before this sentence even before the director and picture nods because nothing could’ve let me down following Cotillard and “Falling Slowly”. Someone emphasized on the Kermode podcast a few weeks ago how the Oscars are always great because they are at their core a celebration of film and I was like “yes!” ‘cos that’s why I do this year after year and this year more than any I have known made me actually feel it more than I believed it. I’m just so high right now on movies I’m practically delirious. 8/21
04:26 Diablo! Like I’ve said, I didn’t really like the movie so much but it did almost surprise me a little and I just think she is so cool like everyone else does lol. 7/18
04:24 I can’t believe I haven’t been sleepy yet once tonight lol especially considering the booze and carbs consumed. Best sign of the greatness of the show so far.
04:18 Oh well, that cancels out the Foreign Language guess lol. I’m sure the same happened last year. 6/17
04:10 Atonement for score. It didn’t win costume and I loved the typewriter taps so hey, still no big upset :) 6/16
04:06 Kerr, Pleshette, Francis, Bergman, Ledger – even the deaths were grand this year :(
04:01 Blood’s first win? Should’ve known Deakins double nomination would be trouble 6/15
03:50 Champagne anyone? “Falling Slowly”. I really don’t care what wins or loses after this. 6/14
03:46 Kickass! Maybe it was worth counting my meaningless predix for doc and foreign afterall 5/13
03:42 There was actually just a flash across Claudia Winkleman’s face that made me warm to her as she said “Well, Marion Cotillard won and – well I’d argue many things but, back to Jon Stewart …” when one of the nameless critic people said the whole “Foreign Language” category is pointless etc …
03:30 “Someone just took the lead in their Oscar pool based on a guess!” lol
03:29 Three for Bourne?!? It’s all going wrong! lol 4/12
03:20 “Falling Slowly”. I said I had a gut feeling this would be a good show but honestly, I’m not overexaggerating, it is the best I have ever seen in 13 years of watching.
03:18 Wii! ROFL Best gag so far.
03:12 Marion Cotillard :) I feel like I should crack open the champagne right now, I’m so happy for her 4/11 “Thank you life! Thank you love!” Sally Field enough for ya?
02:59 “The next American to win needs to go up there and Sally Field this,” lol … the other British nobody on our ad break filler show who’s about the sanest of the bunch.
02:53 Y’know, I love kids TV, I love young actresses, so obviously I’ve checked out Hannah Montana once or twice and I could get into it … but why is she presenting at the Oscars? 3/8 Ah Kristen! (lol sorry I just mistook her for Amy Adams cos I wasn’t looking at the TV, sorry if anyone’s following this mindless babble avidly and just read that :P)
02:23 Javier and Tilda! and awww I love the quirky short winners’ speeches! which I also actually got right in the Awards Daily contest lol, I guess I shoulda included them below afterall! anyway 3/7
02:12 Sweeney! 2/5
02:08 Is the order of awards presentation just perfect so far this year or is it just me? 2/4 yay for The Golden Compass, even though it makes me wrong :P
02:00 I’m still pretty adamant that 3 song noms were too much for Enchanted but how can you remain grumpy with Amy Adams onstage? :)
01:58 Marion Cotillard reacting to the Piaf win for make-up says everything I was trying to say about the two-way effort in my review of the movie 2/3 :)
01:55 Had to be the rat :) 1/2
01:47 0/1 off the bat … but Elizabeth’s costumes were gorgeous too.
01:33 “The fight is over. Welcome to the make-up sex.”
01:30 I am very excite!
01:16 Lowly critic twat who doesn’t deserve naming filling a chair on Sky Movies’ pitiful 30 minute countdown to the show, talking about the writer’s strike etc: “I think what we’ll see tonight is a lot of pitching at the Oscar parties. Madonna’s supposed to be putting on a last minute one. I’m sure she’ll be talking with directors like Philip Thomas Anderson.” I swear to god, how do so many idiots get into these jobs?
01:11 Two channels to pick between in the last half hour before showtime. One is telling me Tilda Swinton looks awful ‘cos she’s different; the other is playing “guess the celebrity back!” Thank God Jon Stewart is presenting.
01:05 Oooh E! is still going.
01:03 Cries Winkleman so … Winkleman so … so boring!!!!
01:00 Kickass – slightly unrelated except I was surprised it wasn’t nominated in the Foreign Language category despite not seeing it yet – The Edge of Heaven is gonna show on Sky Box Office (a UK pay-per-view channel) at the same time as it goes out in cinemas. Start of something good?
00:54 NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooooooooooooooo! Claudia Winkleman!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Seriously, is there noone better willing to do this shift?
00:53 Steve Carrell and the pocket fan lol. I love it.
00:50 Oh that’s genius. I only just noticed Thornton is pregnant lol. Did Sky specifically impregnate her in September for the purpose of hooking the likes of Jessica Alba on the carpet? lol.
00:47 Just look at Marion Cotillard in the flesh on the red carpet and compare and contrast with her performance. OMG. It just amazes me every which way the more that movie dwells in my head.
00:45 When did Faye Dunaway stop looking like Faye Dunaway? OK that was still mean pushing her aside for Cameron Diaz of all people lol.
00:27 “Well my friend Lindsay -” “LOHAN?!?” lol yes, ‘cos there are only in fact 8 Lindsays on the whole planet and 7 of them are cleaners. Again, why I don’t watch E! lol.
00:23 Miley Cyrus scares me.
00:20 Oh Kristen Chenoweth :) That’s all I have to say. Overshoulder smile is all I need. Haven’t heard much about the Dusty Springfield movie but I think she’ll be back next year if it’s as good as it sounds :)
00:10 I love Amy Adams’ bag lol. Invisible lipstick hehe :)
00:00 “Well he rarely takes a girl on the Red Carpet and they’ve been dating barely a year but they … they’ve been through a lot, they were in a motorcycle accident just days before the premiere, she was a cocktail waitress in Vegas and was on a reality show and I guess they’ve bonded …” “Well you heard it, sign up for those reality shows, get a job cocktail waitressing in Vegas!” I just remembered why I don’t watch E! Jesus wept.
23:57 As with Abigail Breslin last year, having seen her on the Red Carpet, I no longer mind Saoirse Ronan winning lol.
23:51 I have had 1000 hits today lol :-D
23:48 Wow was that Saoirse Ronan?
23:32 Okay E! has way too many ads. Back to the old “switch-between” routine.
23:23 Screw it I’ve switched to E! lol.
23:14 Oh, she’s put her foot in it already grr. “2007 gave us everything right through from Atonement … to The Zodiac.” Shakes head.
23:06 Kate Thornton = Hmm. Hot dogs, doritos, beer and jellies = Yay!



2008 Oscar Predictions

2008 Oscar Predictions

Sunday, February 24th, 2008

The Winners

So, no more time for guessing.

Update: Okay I just entered this contest which includes doc and foreign categories so despite having seen none of those nominees except SiCKO I’ll include what I put there at the risk of losing points – I’ll still leave out the shorts though; I promise this is the last time I’ll bump this entry, I’m pretty damn happy with my final predictions now, like practically in a Kermodean, “They are the right nominees that should win,” sense lol.

Having watched There Will Be Blood a second time today and finally La Vie En Rose and The Diving Bell and the Butterfly yesterday, I really think this is the best bunch of nominations I’ve seen in a long time and I know I say it every year and they still manage to find something to upset me lol, but I think no matter what wins in most categories, I’ll be pretty satisfied (Juno in anything but screenplay, Clayton for anything but Swinton or Wilkinson and Philip Seymour Hoffman would be about the worst upsets for me). I think it’ll be a great show too – don’t ask me why, I just have a feeling. Later I’ll start a separate post “live blogging” the whole thing like last year. Minor changes are of course possible up until the show :-P

8/21

Best Picture: There Will Be Blood Wrong! No Country for Old Men
Best Director: Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly Wrong! Coen Brothers
Best Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood Right!
Best Actress: Marion Cotillard, La Vie En Rose Right!
Best Supporting Actor: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men Right!
Best Supporting Actress: Cate Blanchett, I’m Not There Wrong! Tilda Swinton
Best Original Screenplay: Juno Diablo Cody Right!
Best Adapted Screenplay: Away From Her Sarah Polley Wrong! No Country for Old Men
Best Editing: No Country for Old Men Roderick Jaynes Wrong! The Bourne Ultimatum
Best Cinematography: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford Roger Deakins Wrong! There Will Be Blood
Best Art Direction: There Will Be Blood Wrong! Sweeney Todd!
Best Costume Design: Atonement Wrong! Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Best Make-Up: La Vie En Rose Right!
Best Original Score: Ratatouille Michael Giacchino Wrong! Atonement
Best Original Song: “Falling Slowly”, Once Right!
Best Visual Effects: Transformers Wrong! The Golden Compass
Best Sound Mixing: No Country for Old Men Wrong! The Bourne Ultimatum
Best Sound Editing: There Will Be Blood Wrong! The Bourne Ultimatum
Best Animated Film: Ratatouille Right!
Best Foreign Language Film: The Counterfeiters Right!
Best Documentary Feature: SiCKO Wrong! Taxi to the Dark Side

The Nominees

40/89 ... less than usual but not by much, I usually manage 50/50 which considering I mostly avoid things that I just personally don’t wanna be nominated ain’t too bad. 3 song nominations wasted on Enchanted like last year’s Dreamgirls thing kinda annoys me – I love Schwartz and Menken, no I haven’t seen the movie but I’ve heard the songs and they’re not that good … there should be a rule for 1 nomination per movie. No Mimzy and no Robinsons is my biggest let-down. I kicked butt in sound effects editing and adapted screenplay categories which surprises me. Yay for Sarah Polley. Can’t believe Norbit got a nomination. I can believe even less that Mark Kermode didn’t have a coronary on air lol – maybe nobody dared tell him. I think it’s No Country all over but I think I’ll ultimately be rooting for Blood. Time to work on the 2009 page ;-)

Best Picture

Best Picture 2/5

NOTES: Though I loved it, I still really won’t be surprised if Sweeney is all but left out of the whole proceedings. I’m surprised by the lack of buzz about Once in recent weeks, and would personally like to see it up there. Away From Her won’t be nominated but in my opinion is one of the most artistic, classy movies in years. And Lions for Lambs should probably be here too. I won’t be too annoyed if Atonement comes up, but I’ll scream if 3:10 or American Gangster do. Juno ... meh … I liked it, but do we really wanna waste another nomination on another Little Miss Sunshine ?

Best Director 2/5

NOTES: last minute update Since I was really torn between Sidney Lumet and David Fincher (Lumet is about as overdue as Scorsese, Fincher’s just a genius and Zodiac deserves something), I decided to really stick my neck out and ditch both in favour of Sarah Polley. My thinking behind that is just too lengthy to go into here lol. Joe Wright and Ridley Scott would bore me in this category – the long shot in Atonement is masterful, but far too obvious; and I shouldn’t even need to say that Scott has done better, but I feel like I have to. The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, incidentally, won’t be getting much mention here since I’ve just not even read much about it to make so much as an informed prejudgement, but it’d be awesome to see Julian Schnabel nominated and pretend it’s in retrospect for Basquiat.

Best Actor 2/5

NOTES: Well this category’s vast. My big clash here was over Sam Riley vs. Joseph Gordon-Levitt who has been in my predix here since the beginning. If I weren’t so anxious for Johnny to finally win, I’d swap the two over and I feel their likelihood of a nomination is about equal (I’m really not feeling it for Sweeney, I’m sorry, I hope I’m proven wrong). Hoffmann will get nominated, I’m certain, but I don’t know for what – it could be for The Savages which I’ve not seen, it could be supporting for Charlie Wilson’s War, I hope not. If Julie Christie is up for Away from Her, which she will be, then I feel it would be an insult if Gordon Pinsent weren’t nominated too. John Cusack in my opinion deserves a nomination for 1408 but his only slightly more likely role in Grace is Gone would be a fine substitute nomination. James McAvoy deserves to be nominated after being overlooked last year for The Last King of Scotland. Christian Bale’s performance in Rescue Dawn seems to have been forgotten.

Best Actress 3/5

NOTES: I haven’t seen Enchanted yet but the buzz for Amy Adams just seems crazy, much as I’d love to see her up there. I’d prefer to see Ashley Judd nominated for Bug here over any of the five above. But this seems the easiest category to predict this year. Jodie Foster and Helena Bonham-Carter could be swapped in for Cotillard and Blanchett, and I know it might seem weird me not rooting for Jodie, but, meh, they’ve both done better and I’m actually happy with these five … yes, even Keira.

Best Supporting Actor 2/5

NOTES: If Christian Bale is up for Rescue Dawn in the lead category, then like the Christie/Pinsent thing, Steve Zahn should be up here too in my opinion. He deserved a supporting actor nod for Riding in Cars with Boys. But I’m pretty sure that’s not gonna happen. I guess since I took Joseph Gordon-Levitt out I should take Jeff Daniels out here too, but I really can’t think who to replace him with. I really didn’t like Philip Seymour-Hoffmann in Charlie Wilson’s War. I’m willing to lose a point over that, lol.

Best Supporting Actress 2/5

NOTES: I used to be so good on this category. But I’m gonna be wrong wrong wrong this year, I know, lol. I would love to see Imelda Staunton in this one for Harry Potter. Pfeiffer’s more likely to be nominated for Hairspray but I just plain liked Stardust more.

Best Original Screenplay 2/5

Best Adapted Screenplay 4/5

Best Editing 2/5

Best Cinematography 2/5

Best Art Direction 2/5

Best Costume Design 3/5

Best Make-Up 0/3

Best Original Score 2/5

NOTES: last minute update apparently Jonny Greenwood’s score for There Will Be Blood is ineligible, so I’ve replaced it off the top of my head with Carter Burwell’s admittedly familiar score to Before the Devil. He ain’t getting nominated for No Country that’s for sure lol.

Best Original Song 1/5

  • “Le Festin” Michael Giacchino, Ratatouille [ “Happy Working Song”, Enchanted ]
  • “Hello, I Love You” Roger Waters and Howard Shore, The Last Mimzy [ “That’s How You Know”, Enchanted ]
  • “Falling Slowly” Glen Hansard & Markéta Irglová, Once
  • “Society” Eddie Vedder, Into the Wild [ “So Close”, Enchanted ]
  • “Way Back Into Love” Music and Lyrics [ “Raise it Up”, August Rush ]

NOTES: I swapped in “Le Festin” last minute, grudgingly over Schwartz and Menken’s “That’s How You Know” from Enchanted, if only ‘cos I still haven’t seen that movie. Either will be great by me. Just … please on Mimzy :) In fact, just about please on all of the above. The song category could be awesome this year!

Best Visual Effects 2/3

NOTES: I grudgingly accept another Pirates nod, Sunshine and Zodiac being absent from the shortlist :(

Best Sound 2/5

Best Sound Effects Editing 4/5

Best Foreign Language Feature

NOTES: Even I noticed how f*cked up the shortlist was for this category this year. I’m just not even gonna try.

Best Documentary Feature

NOTES: (sorta) ditto.

Best Animated Feature 1/3

NOTES: I just want Robinsons to be nominated. Simpsons in its place would bug the hell out of me. Shrek and Bee Movie – Bah! The only thing I’ll accept is Persepolis over Beowulf.

Oh yes: THE TALLY:

8 – No Country for Old Men
6 – Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street, Zodiac
5 – Ratatouille
4 – There Will Be Blood, Control, Atonement, Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
3 – Into the Wild, Away from Her, Before the Devil Knows You’re Dead, Elizabeth: The Golden Age, The Bourne Ultimatum, American Gangster
2 – The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, The Lookout, Michael Clayton, Juno, I’m Not There, Once, 300, Transformers
1 – Breach, A Mighty Heart, La Vie en Rose, Gone Baby Gone, Stardust, Grace is Gone, The Last Mimzy, Music and Lyrics, Pirates of the Caribbean: At World’s End, Hairspray, Meet the Robinsons, Beowulf



2009 Oscar Predictions

2009 Oscar Predictions

Monday, January 28th, 2008

Okay I’ve tried to fill all these out from the start this time around but I got stumped on a few categories … was hoping a few threads might appear on the AwardsDaily forums with suggestions or something but nevermind, comment away if you’re certain I’ve missed something (caveat as always being that usually if I’ve “missed” something it’s deliberate :P) I’m posting now ‘cos I’m just a whore for keeping them google hits coming :P. Also like this time last year I’ve a few that might not necessarily even be movies this time next year, but it’s all part of the fun, which at this stage more than any stage is all there is to it.

Best Picture

  • The Argentine / Guerrilla
  • Defiance
  • The Lovely Bones
  • Mamma Mia
  • Revolutionary Road

Best Director

  • Peter Jackson The Lovely Bones
  • Sam Mendes Revolutionary Road
  • Steven Soderbergh The Argentine / Guerrilla
  • Edward Zwick Defiance

Best Actor

  • Frank Langella Frost/Nixon
  • Leonardo Dicaprio Revolutionary Road
  • Hugh Jackman Australia

Best Actress

  • Julianne Moore Blindness
  • Kate Winslet Revolutionary Road
  • Meryl Streep Doubt / Mamma Mia!
  • Dakota Fanning Hounddog
  • Julia Stiles The Bell Jar / Evan Rachel Wood Brontë

Best Supporting Actor

  • Michael Sheen Frost/Nixon
  • Bryan Brown Australia
  • Heath Ledger The Dark Knight

Best Supporting Actress

  • Kathy Bates Revolutionary Road

Best Original Screenplay

  • Redbelt David Mamet
  • Synecdoche, New York Charlie Kaufman
  • The Wackness Jonathan Levine
  • Wall-E Andrew Stanton

Best Adapted Screenplay

  • The Curious Case of Benjamin Button Eric Roth
  • The Lovely Bones Peter Jackson, Philippa Boyens and Fran Walsh
  • The Reader David Hare
  • Revolutionary Road Justin Haythe
  • The Time Traveller’s Wife Jeremy Leven and Bruce Joel Rubin / The Other Boleyn Girl Peter Morgan

Best Editing

  • Quantum of Solace
  • The Dark Knight
  • Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
  • Revolutionary Road Tariq Anwar

Best Cinematography

  • Brontë Henry Braham
  • Defiance Eduardo Serra
  • The Reader Roger Deakins
  • Revolutionary Road Roger Deakins

Best Art Direction

  • Revolutionary Road Kristi Zea
  • Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince

Best Costume Design

  • Australia Catherine Martin
  • Brontë Charlotte Walter
  • Defiance Jenny Beavan
  • The Other Boleyn Girl Sandy Powell
  • The Reader Ann Roth

Best Make-Up

  • Defiance
  • The Dark Knight

Best Score

  • Ennio Morricone Leningrad
  • James Newton Howard Defiance

Best Sound

  • The Dark Knight
  • Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
  • Mamma Mia

Best Sound Effects Editing

  • Quantum of Solace
  • The Dark Knight
  • Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull

Best Visual Effects

  • Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull
  • Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince

Best Animated Feature

  • Coraline
  • The Tale of Despereaux / Bolt
  • Wall-E

Best Documentary Feature

  • American Teen
  • Encounters at the End of the World
  • Gonzo: The Life and Work of Dr. Hunter S. Thompson
  • Lou Reed’s Berlin
  • Roman Polanski: Wanted and Desired