« Brick
Yours, Mine and Ours [2005] »
2007 Oscar Predictions

2007 Oscar Predictions

Picture / Director / Actor / Actress / Supporting Actor / Supporting Actress / Screenplay / Adapted Screenplay / Editing / Cinematography / Art Direction / Costume Design / Make-Up / Score / Song / Visual FX / Sound / Sound Editing / Documentary / Foreign / Animated / Tally / Comments

It’s today! It’s today! Sorry about the lack of update here, frankly it’s been less a case of the usual laziness than the fact that this entry has become far too complicated because of my desire to keep all my comings and goings intact, lol. But I’ll do my best below to mark out my usual combination of hope, want, fear, dread and yes, downright divination regarding this year’s Oscars. To be honest, while there are certain absolute dead certs – I read the other day that Wiliam Hill have already paid out on bets for Helen Mirren because they’ve decided it’s cheaper for them to stop taking bets than to take any more or something – I think mostly it’s pretty much any one’s guess in the majority of categories this year. If I was to make one bet, I was thinking this week, it would have to be that I’m pretty certain when it all goes down I will have actually seen, outside of the short subjects, all of the winning movies. The big four that I haven’t seen this year are: The Pursuit of Happyness, Notes on a Scandal, Half Nelson, and Letters from Iwo Jima. Of those, Letters has the biggest shot at anything, but I really doubt it in my gut.

Anyway, here goes. On my way down I’ll point out the stuff I really, really want to see happen. And remember, very little of this is like the boring constructive type of Oscar predicting you’ll find elsewhere. There’s some of that, and as I’ve said before, the word “prediction” just gets me more hits, lol; but most of all it’s a mix of personal opinion and gut feeling and stuff my invisible friend told me. Let’s make this fun again, huh?

Yellow highlight denoted things I really want(ed) to be nominated.
WIN denotes the one I think/thought will/would ultimately win (so it follows that I strongly suspect it will be nominated, lol). On the left of a nominee’s name is my prediction pre-nominations; on the right, my final prediction based on the actual nominees.
NOT A CAT’S CHANCE IN HELL BUT I WANT IT is self explanatory.

And of course don’t forget to check out my 2008 predictions ! :P

Best Picture – The Departed Correct!
– frankly, anything but Little Miss Sunshine here will be fine by me, though Letters from Iwo Jima would be annoying since I haven’t seen it :P Update last minute update: I just feel like saying, actually, I have a feeling it’ll be Little Miss, lol … not just because I’ve been upset in such a way for like the past half decade, but also because, anyway, I actually have a feeling that Scorsese will win but it’ll be a split Picture/Director situation anyway. But The Departed will put a smile on my face.

Best Director – Martin Scorsese (The Departed) Correct!

Best Actor – Peter O’Toole (Venus) Wrong!
– I know, it’s Whitaker’s. But, and I’m surprised to find myself saying this, I really want this guy to win for this.

NOT A CAT’S CHANCE IN HELL BUT I WANT IT : Paul Giamatti (Lady in the Water) / Alan Rickman (Snow Cake)

Best Actress – Helen Mirren (The Queen) Correct!
– boring, but in the absence of Maggie …

  • Maggie Gyllenhaal (Sherrybaby) Wrong! Meryl Streep (The Devil Wears Prada)
  • WIN Helen Mirren (The Queen) Correct! WIN
  • Penelope Cruz (Volver) Correct!
  • Kate Winslet (Little Children) Correct!
  • Judi Dench (Notes on a Scandal) Correct!

NOT A CAT’S CHANCE IN HELL BUT I WANT IT : Bryce Dallas Howard (Lady in the Water) / Sigourney Weaver (Snow Cake)

Best Supporting Actor – Jackie Earle Haley (Little Children) Wrong! Alan Arkin (Little Miss Sunshine)
– Little Children deserves something, and frankly they really screwed up in this category this year – where are Michael Sheen and James McAvoy?????

Best Supporting Actress – Adriana Baraza (Babel) Wrong! Jennifer Hudson (“Dreamgirls”:http://ambival.net/movies/dreamgirls)
– this was a last minute alteration I made to my nomination predictions that gave me a surprise extra point in the end, and of all these performances, this is the one that haunts me most. Really, though? Anyone but Ms. Breslin.

NOT A CAT’S CHANCE IN HELL BUT I WANT IT : Emily Hampshire (Snow Cake) / Geraldine Hughes (Rocky Balboa)

Best Original Screenplay – Little Miss Sunshine Correct!
– The only one I’ll allow it :P Bit of a Lost In Translation kinda deal.

Best Adapted Screenplay – Little Children Wrong! The Departed
– I forgot LC had been nominated for this – two wins for this movie would be so great_.

Best Editing – Thelma Schoonmaker (The Departed) Correct!
– travesty of the evening will be if this masterwork of editing goes unrecognised.

Best Cinematography – The Prestige Wrong! Pan’s Labyrinth
– The other actually great movie of last year that was lucky enough to be nominated. It deserves everything it’s up for.

Best Art Direction – The Prestige Wrong! Pan’s Labyrinth

NOT A CAT’S CHANCE IN HELL BUT I WANT IT : Silent Hill (Carol Spier)

Best Costume Design – The Devil Wears Prada Wrong! Marie Antoinette
– weirdly enough, this is what I find myself writing in the blank here.

Best Make-Up – Pan’s Labyrinth
– I wanna say Click, ‘cos I was so stoked to predict that right, lol – but it’s just gotta be Pan’s. Correct!

Best Score – Babel Correct!
– really one of those “recognition for everything else you’ve done so far” things, lol.

Best Original Song – “Our Town”, Cars / “I Need to Wake Up”, An Inconvenient Truth Correct!
– Dammit, I really can’t choose between “Our Town” and “I Need to Wake Up”, lol. But anyway, it’s between the two – if a Dreamgirls song wins here the Academy is insane. The Borat song so should’ve been nominated. Update: I put “Our Town” in for my OscarWatch guesses, but I’m still torn. I’ll probably decide on a Dreamgirls song after they’re performed in the show, ROFL.

Best Visual Effects – Superman Returns Wrong!
– the only good movie in the category, I mean, wtf, Poseidon??????

Best Sound – Blood Diamond Wrong! Dreamgirls
– always a tough category, and this is the only one that stands out, for this and the sound editing.

Best Sound Effects Editing – Blood Diamond Wrong! Letters from Iwo Jima

;Best Documentary Feature – An Inconvenient Truth Correct!
– boring, and not a good movie at all, but it would be weird if it didn’t win I think.

  • WIN An Inconvenient Truth Correct! WIN
  • The War Tapes Wrong! My Country, My Country
  • Jesus Camp <;img src="http://ambival.net/images/greenlight.gif" alt="Correct!" />
  • Deliver Us From Evil Correct!
  • The Ground Truth Wrong! Iraq in Fragments

Best Foreign Language Feature – Pan’s Labyrinth Wrong! The Lives of Others
– I think everyone thought this category was gonna be a close call between this and Volver ... so, like, surely Pan’s has to take this one? I mean … surely?!?!?!?

  • WIN Pan’s Labyrinth Correct! WIN
  • Volver Wrong! Days of Glory
  • Water Correct!
  • The Lives of Others Correct!
  • Black Book Wrong! After the Wedding

Best Animated Feature – Happy Feet Correct! – I was surprised to find out the other day that this apparently is the favourite to win here. Anyway, I’m still rooting for it like an underdog, lol. One of the best animated features in years. And I’m annoyed it had to come out in the same year as the terrific Monster House ... but whatever …

NOT A CAT’S CHANCE IN HELL BUT I WANT IT : A Scanner Darkly

Final Score: 53/99

Tally

10 Dreamgirls
9 Babel
8 The Queen
7 The Departed
6 Pan’s Labyrinth
5 Little Children
4 Casino Royale
3 Little Miss Sunshine / The Painted Veil / Superman Returns
2 Borat: Cultural Learnings in America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan / Volver / Blood Diamond / Children of Men / Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man’s Chest / World Trade Center / Happy Feet / Marie Antoinette
1 Notes on a Scandal / United 93 / Venus / The Last King of Scotland / SherryBaby / The Devil Wears Prada / A Scanner Darkly / Thank You for Smoking / Hollywoodland / Click / Apocalypto / An Inconvenient Truth / X-Men: The Last Stand / Mission: Impossible III / The War Tapes / The Ground Truth / Deliver Us From Evil / Jesus Camp / Water / The Lives of Others / Black Book / Monster House / Over the Hedge / Cars / Flushed Away


This entry was posted on Sunday, February 25th, 2007 at 12:50 pm in Movie Reviews, lists. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can leave a response, or trackback from your own site.

9 Responses to “2007 Oscar Predictions”

  1. homerman Says:
    May 4th, 2006 at 8:12 pm

    hey hey hey!... xD… 3 months since the last academy’s cerimony and now there are a lot more previsions!.... great!... man, may I sugest the assassination of jesse james in cinematography?... maybe art direction?... okay.. thats my final word… bye!

  2. joshua Says:
    September 7th, 2006 at 1:07 pm

    i believe that sarah jessica parker has also a strong role in spinning into butter.she plays a teacher who tries to save african-american from their classmates racistic activities.and nicole kidman in fur which is an autobiography.

  3. homerman Says:
    September 17th, 2006 at 11:11 pm

    new suggestions… predictions pimping, uhn?... i just saw an amazing trailer last week.. curse of the golden flower, from zhang yimou… and i’m almost sure that the cinematography will be nominated.. remember that zhao xiaoding was already nominated once for the house of flying daggers, coincidently directed by yimou… so, despite the colors are beautiful, remember we can see him again at the ballot… speeking in cinematography, i’m quite sure that the prestige, directed by christopher nolan, will garantee the second consecutive nomination for wally pfister… dont know your taste for this cathegory, but mark my words it will be there… and the finale, i think united 93 will get an nomination in the editing cathegory… that’s all… goos luck, c ya

  4. Ambival.net » Movies » Over the Hedge Says:
    September 21st, 2006 at 2:29 am

    [...] Again, as with M:I3, I didn’t expect much from this at all. Working on my Oscar predictions, I’ve constantly come to a complete standstill on the animation category in a year when the Pixar release was below their standard (though still great) and everything else, including this, in trailer form at least looked just horrendous. But in just the first few minutes, I caught myself laughing out loud, got tingly on my back as the soundtrack kicked in, and this just didn’t let up for the duration. Just as my interest waned, another gag would catch me off guard, and they save the best laugh till last, surely one of the funniest scenes of the year when Hammy the squirrel is finally given caffeine. [...]

  5. homerman Says:
    September 29th, 2006 at 6:56 pm

    don’t know if you know… but the painted veil is coming to the theatres only in 2007… i saw it in a site i dont record the adress right now.. ill look for it… when i found it ill post here… keeping the oportunity, let me say… all the king’s men is with awful results, both from critics and users.. check it out…

    http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/all_the_kings_men/

    and think that the good german, the new picture by stephen sodehrberg, is a match on the spot in the best picture cathegory and in the best directing cathegory… there are no trailers yet… good luck and c ya

  6. raj Says:
    November 26th, 2006 at 5:07 am

    My Prediction:
    Little Children
    Flags of our fathers
    departed
    last king of scotland
    queen
    I predict: Queen

    My Choice:
    little miss sunshine/v for vendetta
    Little Children
    departed
    last king of scotland
    queen
    I choose: Little children/departed

    2 movies i think will have alot of noms will be queen and last king of scotland
    Acting categories are very hard 2 predict unlike last year.. so many of em are good… but my CHOICES are Best Actor: DiCaprio (Departed), Actress (Kate winslet-lil children) but i think Helen Mirren for sure will take it, director: scorcese(departed), makeup, costume, art direction, cinemetography:(dead man’s chest-new and much more original compared 2 queen or departed), Score:(dead man’s chest).. again queen departed flags of our fathers, vendetta are also good… i hope they dont underrate dead mans chest

    haven seen good shepherd or good german… i dunno how they are

    dreamgirls im not sure… i think we are tired of musicals… bobby-> i dont think so

    y do u like casino royale so much? daniel craig best actor?

    Any comments?

    RaJi

  7. faizan Says:
    January 23rd, 2007 at 7:04 pm

    nice post

  8. Ambival.net » Movies » 2008 Oscar Predictions Says:
    January 27th, 2007 at 6:26 am

    [...] While I’m getting lots of hits to my 2007 page, it just has to be done This is very much the “first pass” so there aren’t many things listed yet, and I shouldn’t need to say that at this early stage, obviously, it’s hard really to know anything lol (not that it’s any easier later in the game ). It’ll likely balloon over the next week, but for now, I just wanna get this page in place. But feel free to comment about any movies you think I’ve missed even at this point – there are plenty that I’m already aware of but just won’t be listing till I know more about them, but who knows? You might bring something to my attention that I hadn’t even thought of yet. [...]

  9. Ambival.net » Journal » Live Blogging the Oscars UK Says:
    March 21st, 2007 at 3:42 am

    [...] Just for s’cos it’s so trendy apparently and I’m sure I’ve more to say about The Oscars in general but my predictions entry is stuffed to capacity I’ll probably give up half way but bear in mind it’s my first time doing this. [...]

Leave a Reply